Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!
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NFP is going out at 15:30 MT today. Let’s see what major banks forecast for Nonfarm Payrolls. The market consensus is 647,000. As a rule, if the NFP is greater than the forecasts, the USD will rise. In case of an alternative scenario, expect a fall of the USD. While waiting for the release, check out the strategy for trading on NFP.
“We forecast NFP to rise 750K versus consensus 600K. The unemployment rate is also expected to dip to 5.9/6.0% from 6.2%.”
“We are expecting a +800K increase in NFP as many states reopen or scale back lockdown measures, and this would be the strongest monthly job growth since August.” However, Deutsche Bank mentioned that “even if the +800k growth were realised, that would still leave the total number of NFP more than 8.6 M beneath its pre-Covid-19 pandemic peak”.
“We forecast a 1.0M rise in payrolls in this week's report for March. That said, payrolls are likely to remain well below the pre-pandemic level for a while, even with booming monthly readings. As of February 2021, payrolls were down 9.5 M from the February 2020 level.”
“Citi expectations are close to consensus at 600K. While inflation data is receiving most of the attention, we think the Federal Reserve could be on-track to taper if job growth averages 500K+.”
As you can see, the forecasts are all optimistic, some more – some less. Follow the report at 15:30 MT. To get the actual numbers of NFP – check our economic calendar.
For a long time, traders considered American Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) the most important release in the market. However, the situation has changed. Now US CPI moves financial markets.
OPEC-JMMC meetings will be hosted on Thursday, December 2 during the whole day.
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on November 5, 14:30 GMT+2.
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on October 8, 15:30 GMT+3.
What will happen? Crude oil inventories will be announced at 17:30 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, September 29…
Australia will release employment change and the unemployment rate on Thursday, at 02:30 MT time.
The Federal Open Market Committee (the part of the Federal Reserve) will publish its Meeting Minutes on February 16, at 21:00 MT time.
The United States will publish the producer price index (PPI) on February 15, at 15:30 MT time.
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